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Peak Everything
Post Carbon Adviser Colin Cambell had an article published in the February edition of The Irish National. The article is title 'Mapping the Past and the Future'.
From the article:
... Looking ahead, it is evident that we enter the Second Half of the Oil Age, when this critical energy supply that fuels the modern world, including its military engagements, declines from natural depletion. Today, some 60 billion barrels of petroleum a year (including gas in terms of oil equivalent) support a population of 7 billion people, but by 2050 the supply will be sufficient to support no more than about half that number in their present way of life. It speaks of a radical change, with the transition likely to be accompanied by much tension, signs of which have already been seen.
But ordinary people, whether we speak of those living in West Cork in Ireland or a village in rural France, can go about their daily lives concentrating on their local circumstances. They may face relative poverty by present standards but can soon adjust to it with smiling faces as they come to realise that they are relatively privileged.
We may see a return to regionalism with the development of local markets, even local currencies, and a new community spirit, as the imperial constructions of the past pass into history. As always, there will be winners and losers, with the winners being those who adapt better to the changing circumstances. The Transition Town Movement that had its origins in Kinsale in Ireland but has now spread around the world, sets an example of the new strategies to be followed.
The article is in a pdf and appears on page 4-5
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