Saying Goodbye to Air Travel
By
Richard Heinberg
·
May 14 2008 · 2 comments
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The airline industry has no future. The same is true for airfreight. No air carrier has a viable plan to make a profit with oil at current prices—much less in years to come as the petroleum available to world markets dwindles rapidly.
That’s not to say that jetliners will disappear overnight, but rather that the cheap flights we’ve seen in the past will soon be fading memories. In a few years jet service will be available only to the wealthy, or to the government and military.
[Read the rest at Global Public Media]
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I don't think there's any reality in the article. No matter what would be happen with the future, but airline industry will remain at it's peak, at least in my country India.
I think the opinion that there will be no post carbon air travel ignores both the demand for air travel, and the post carbon technologies that will drive it. Lighter than air and jet engines that use cryogenic liquid hydrogen air the most likely methods of post carbon air travel. It seems to me hopelessly naive to suggest that the armed forces of nations that posess the needed technology, will simply write off air power and abandon it, and it capitalist societies, the money and political power will create a commercial market.
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