Population

how large can we grow?

The industrialization of food production has allowed global population to grow exponentially, from 1.3 billion in 1850 to nearly seven billion today. With this comes exponential growth in the consumption of non-renewable resources like minerals, metals and fossil fuels, as well as the destructive overconsumption of renewable resources like topsoil and freshwater. Our current levels of consumption and population are so high that we are already drawing down the resources that future populations will need; put another way, we would need 1.6 Earths to maintain current levels indefinitely.

Contrary to popular belief, the warnings about overconsumption and overpopulation given by Thomas Malthus in 1798 and the "Limits to Growth" in 1972 were largely correct — we simply cannot keep growing forever on a finite planet. Barring a massive disaster, it is estimated that the world will have nine billion people by 2040. How will we feed so many of us at the same time that fossil fuels, potash, and other materials essential to industrial agriculture are in decline? How can we manage an equitable transition to a more stable global population?

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WILLIAM RYERSON: Why Population Matters Matter to Me

length: 1:02   credit:

Post Carbon Institute Population Fellow William Ryerson quickly explains what drove him to dedicate over 40 years of his life to human population studies.

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latest related publications

THE ULTIMATE ROLLER COASTER RIDE: A Brief History of Fossil Fuels

Richard Heinberg    Nov 08, 2010   

Fossil fuels have powered human growth and ingenuity for centuries. Now that we're reaching the end of cheap and abundant oil and coal supplies, we're in for an exciting ride. While there's a real … >>

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At the Crossroads of Sustainability: A Conversation with Bill Ryerson

William Ryerson    Jan 10, 2012   

By Michael Charles Tobias, Forbes [Extract]: Imagine a country like French Guiana or Vanuatu – with human populations of 225,000 to 235,000 – emerging, every day! That is the … >>

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POPULATION: The Multiplier of Everything Else

William Ryerson

EXCERPT: When it comes to controversial issues, population is in a class by itself. Advocates and activists working to reduce global population growth and size are attacked by the Left for … >>

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